Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.003393 0.003559 0.003729 0.003916 0.004116 0.004323 0.004555
2025-06-22 0.003064 0.003307 0.003565 0.003861 0.004191 0.004550 0.004970
2025-06-29 0.002886 0.003175 0.003491 0.003863 0.004291 0.004771 0.005354
2025-07-06 0.002677 0.002987 0.003333 0.003748 0.004237 0.004800 0.005502
2025-07-13 0.002571 0.002906 0.003286 0.003751 0.004311 0.004970 0.005814
2025-07-20 0.002510 0.002871 0.003286 0.003804 0.004441 0.005208 0.006214
2025-07-27 0.002411 0.002783 0.003219 0.003770 0.004459 0.005304 0.006438
2025-08-03 0.002327 0.002710 0.003163 0.003746 0.004485 0.005408 0.006671
2025-08-10 0.002249 0.002640 0.003109 0.003718 0.004502 0.005498 0.006887
2025-08-17 0.002220 0.002628 0.003123 0.003776 0.004630 0.005733 0.007306
2025-08-24 0.002160 0.002576 0.003084 0.003763 0.004662 0.005843 0.007557
2025-08-31 0.002099 0.002519 0.003038 0.003737 0.004675 0.005924 0.007770
2025-09-07 0.002026 0.002446 0.002968 0.003678 0.004644 0.005945 0.007899
2025-09-14 0.001961 0.002380 0.002906 0.003629 0.004621 0.005976 0.008044
2025-09-21 0.001921 0.002346 0.002884 0.003631 0.004669 0.006107 0.008339
2025-09-28 0.001840 0.002256 0.002785 0.003525 0.004561 0.006011 0.008289
2025-10-05 0.001806 0.002227 0.002767 0.003528 0.004606 0.006135 0.008579
2025-10-12 0.001793 0.002224 0.002782 0.003577 0.004718 0.006360 0.009037
2025-10-19 0.001749 0.002180 0.002740 0.003545 0.004712 0.006410 0.009217
2025-10-26 0.001711 0.002142 0.002706 0.003523 0.004717 0.006476 0.009427
2025-11-02 0.001674 0.002104 0.002671 0.003497 0.004717 0.006532 0.009621
2025-11-09 0.001666 0.002106 0.002690 0.003550 0.004835 0.006776 0.010142
2025-11-16 0.001637 0.002077 0.002665 0.003538 0.004854 0.006864 0.010403